Probability Seminar —— Conditioned exit measures for branching Markov processes
报告人：Emma Horton (University of Warwick)
时间：2026-06-16 14:00-15:00
地点：王选报告厅
Abstract: Motivated by the need to estimate rare events probabilities in many real world systems, we consider path decompositions for conditioned exit measures of non-local branching processes. In particular, we show that non-local branching processes conditioned to exit a domain via certain sets exhibit a many-to-few decomposition.
Bio: Emma completed her PhD at the University of Bath in 2019. After this, she spent one year as a postdoc in Nancy, France before obtaining a research position as chargée de recherche with Inria in Bordeaux. During her time in Bordeaux she also completed a secondment at the University of Melbourne, Australia. Since September 2023 she has held the position of Assistant Professor in the Statistics Department at the University of Warwick. A large part of Emma’s research focusses on branching processes and their applications. She is also interested in quasi-stationary distributions, Feynman Kac formulae, semigroup stability and sequential Monte Carlo methods.
